Model line
Washington −6.0
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Washington 74%
Projected tempo
70.6
possessions
Site
Washington home
27%Win probability74%
The model makes Washington a 6.0-point favorite, winning about 74 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Oregon offense vs Washington defense
| Oregon O | Stat | Washington D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.5#270 | Tempo | #20967.9 |
| 49.5#266 | eFG% | #11450.2 |
| 17.6#247 | TOV% | #32714.3 |
| 32.3#113 | ORB% | #8828.5 |
| 35.0#181 | FT rate | #8531.0 |
| 9.5#188 | Block% | #8211.2 |
| 59.0#43 | Assist% | #9049.1 |
| 50.5#237 | 2P% | #10250.0 |
| 32.1#277 | 3P% | #16333.6 |
| 73.0#170 | FT% | — |
| 42.8#120 | 3PA rate | #22738.2 |
Washington offense vs Oregon defense
| Washington O | Stat | Oregon D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.9#209 | Tempo | #27066.5 |
| 51.2#187 | eFG% | #15350.9 |
| 15.3#94 | TOV% | #23915.7 |
| 34.6#59 | ORB% | #27432.3 |
| 30.1#309 | FT rate | #10532.0 |
| 8.7#127 | Block% | #5911.7 |
| 49.4#257 | Assist% | #19952.9 |
| 53.4#112 | 2P% | #16651.5 |
| 31.5#307 | 3P% | #14633.4 |
| 76.4#44 | FT% | — |
| 34.6#285 | 3PA rate | #9542.1 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Oregon
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Maryland46 | L 60–70 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Washington78 | W 85–79 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Illinois7 | L 54–80 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Northwestern85 | L 62–63 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Wisconsin35 | W 85–71 |
Washington
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Wisconsin35 | L 82–85 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | USC38 | W 83–79 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Oregon57 | L 79–85 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | USC38 | W 91–72 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Wisconsin35 | L 73–90 |
