Model line
Michigan −9.9
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Michigan 85%
Projected tempo
70.6
possessions
Site
Michigan home
15%Win probability85%
The model makes Michigan a 9.9-point favorite, winning about 85 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Maryland offense vs Michigan defense
| Maryland O | Stat | Michigan D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.7#256 | Tempo | #4171.3 |
| 48.1#311 | eFG% | #345.2 |
| 18.6#304 | TOV% | #26515.3 |
| 33.8#73 | ORB% | #4027.1 |
| 36.4#142 | FT rate | #1526.2 |
| 11.6#328 | Block% | #316.5 |
| 45.2#332 | Assist% | #5447.3 |
| 48.6#295 | 2P% | #444.5 |
| 31.7#295 | 3P% | #3130.8 |
| 72.2#199 | FT% | — |
| 46.9#34 | 3PA rate | #9242.2 |
Michigan offense vs Maryland defense
| Michigan O | Stat | Maryland D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.3#41 | Tempo | #25666.7 |
| 58.7#6 | eFG% | #31154.4 |
| 16.5#165 | TOV% | #29614.9 |
| 35.0#47 | ORB% | #11329.1 |
| 37.7#109 | FT rate | #20535.8 |
| 9.0#145 | Block% | #1909.1 |
| 61.1#25 | Assist% | #34761.2 |
| 61.5#2 | 2P% | #29054.4 |
| 36.6#36 | 3P% | #31836.3 |
| 74.7#94 | FT% | — |
| 41.7#140 | 3PA rate | #6843.1 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Maryland
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Iowa41 | L 64–75 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Oregon57 | W 70–60 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | H | Illinois7 | L 72–78 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Wisconsin35 | L 45–78 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Rutgers75 | L 65–69 |
Michigan
| Mon, Apr 6 | N | Connecticut3 | W 69–63 |
| Sat, Apr 4 | N | Arizona5 | W 91–73 |
| Sun, Mar 29 | N | Tennessee11 | W 95–62 |
| Fri, Mar 27 | N | Alabama16 | W 90–77 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | Saint Louis60 | W 95–72 |
