Model line
Illinois −2.0
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Illinois 58%
Projected tempo
70.4
possessions
Site
Rutgers home
58%Win probability42%
The model makes Illinois a 2.0-point favorite, winning about 58 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Illinois offense vs Rutgers defense
| Illinois O | Stat | Rutgers D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.2#285 | Tempo | #27166.5 |
| 55.3#35 | eFG% | #27253.0 |
| 13.0#6 | TOV% | #14517.1 |
| 39.2#3 | ORB% | #30033.1 |
| 32.7#245 | FT rate | #9331.4 |
| 8.4#92 | Block% | #1569.7 |
| 50.9#219 | Assist% | #32758.5 |
| 58.1#20 | 2P% | #22152.5 |
| 35.0#114 | 3P% | #29735.8 |
| 78.4#13 | FT% | — |
| 50.4#15 | 3PA rate | #20439.0 |
Rutgers offense vs Illinois defense
| Rutgers O | Stat | Illinois D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.5#271 | Tempo | #28566.2 |
| 47.5#328 | eFG% | #3247.5 |
| 15.1#70 | TOV% | #36511.7 |
| 29.8#211 | ORB% | #3326.8 |
| 36.1#148 | FT rate | #119.7 |
| 9.8#225 | Block% | #3812.5 |
| 50.6#230 | Assist% | #13050.7 |
| 46.6#337 | 2P% | #4648.3 |
| 32.8#240 | 3P% | #3631.0 |
| 74.1#129 | FT% | — |
| 34.6#284 | 3PA rate | #8342.5 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Illinois
| Sat, Apr 4 | N | Connecticut3 | L 62–71 |
| Sat, Mar 28 | N | Iowa41 | W 71–59 |
| Thu, Mar 26 | N | Houston4 | W 65–55 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | VCU53 | W 76–55 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Penn123 | W 105–70 |
Rutgers
| Thu, Apr 2 | N | Creighton36 | L 69–82 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | UCLA18 | L 59–72 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Minnesota63 | W 72–67 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | H | Penn St.90 | W 74–62 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | Michigan St.9 | L 87–91 |
