Model line
Oregon −2.7
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Oregon 61%
Projected tempo
69.6
possessions
Site
Oregon home
39%Win probability61%
The model makes Oregon a 2.7-point favorite, winning about 61 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
UCLA offense vs Oregon defense
| UCLA O | Stat | Oregon D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.8#308 | Tempo | #27066.5 |
| 53.6#82 | eFG% | #15350.9 |
| 13.3#11 | TOV% | #23915.7 |
| 31.2#160 | ORB% | #27432.3 |
| 32.8#241 | FT rate | #10532.0 |
| 8.0#60 | Block% | #5911.7 |
| 58.9#45 | Assist% | #19952.9 |
| 51.8#178 | 2P% | #16651.5 |
| 37.9#20 | 3P% | #14633.4 |
| 76.6#40 | FT% | — |
| 35.7#255 | 3PA rate | #9542.1 |
Oregon offense vs UCLA defense
| Oregon O | Stat | UCLA D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.5#270 | Tempo | #30865.8 |
| 49.5#266 | eFG% | #12050.3 |
| 17.6#247 | TOV% | #8718.3 |
| 32.3#113 | ORB% | #30233.1 |
| 35.0#181 | FT rate | #15734.2 |
| 9.5#188 | Block% | #1489.9 |
| 59.0#43 | Assist% | #35863.1 |
| 50.5#237 | 2P% | #20252.1 |
| 32.1#277 | 3P% | #6632.0 |
| 73.0#170 | FT% | — |
| 42.8#120 | 3PA rate | #3744.7 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
UCLA
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Connecticut3 | L 57–73 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | UCF58 | W 75–71 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Purdue29 | L 66–73 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Michigan St.9 | W 88–84 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Rutgers75 | W 72–59 |
Oregon
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Maryland46 | L 60–70 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Washington78 | W 85–79 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Illinois7 | L 54–80 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Northwestern85 | L 62–63 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Wisconsin35 | W 85–71 |
