Model line
USC −13.6
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
USC 92%
Projected tempo
71.7
possessions
Site
USC home
8%Win probability92%
The model makes USC a 13.6-point favorite, winning about 92 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Penn St. offense vs USC defense
| Penn St. O | Stat | USC D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.5#223 | Tempo | #5471.0 |
| 53.0#105 | eFG% | #8849.7 |
| 15.6#114 | TOV% | #20316.3 |
| 25.9#325 | ORB% | #27032.2 |
| 33.8#217 | FT rate | #13833.4 |
| 9.8#224 | Block% | #1214.9 |
| 48.3#280 | Assist% | #22854.1 |
| 55.8#46 | 2P% | #19852.0 |
| 32.4#263 | 3P% | #3430.9 |
| 75.0#83 | FT% | — |
| 38.1#214 | 3PA rate | #14840.4 |
USC offense vs Penn St. defense
| USC O | Stat | Penn St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.0#54 | Tempo | #22367.5 |
| 50.4#224 | eFG% | #36358.4 |
| 17.4#232 | TOV% | #11417.7 |
| 32.4#111 | ORB% | #20831.1 |
| 44.2#9 | FT rate | #2727.5 |
| 8.3#85 | Block% | #3545.2 |
| 56.5#81 | Assist% | #33860.4 |
| 51.8#179 | 2P% | #35758.6 |
| 31.7#299 | 3P% | #36338.8 |
| 72.6#183 | FT% | — |
| 34.1#292 | 3PA rate | #5543.4 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Penn St.
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Northwestern85 | L 66–76 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | A | Rutgers75 | L 62–74 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Ohio St.26 | L 62–94 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Iowa41 | W 71–69 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Nebraska19 | L 64–87 |
USC
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Washington78 | L 79–83 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | UCLA18 | L 68–89 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Washington78 | L 72–91 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Nebraska19 | L 67–82 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | A | UCLA18 | L 62–81 |
