Model line
Iowa −11.8
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Iowa 89%
Projected tempo
68.7
possessions
Site
Iowa home
11%Win probability89%
The model makes Iowa a 11.8-point favorite, winning about 89 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Washington offense vs Iowa defense
| Washington O | Stat | Iowa D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.9#209 | Tempo | #36363.1 |
| 51.2#187 | eFG% | #24552.6 |
| 15.3#94 | TOV% | #1520.6 |
| 34.6#59 | ORB% | #6928.1 |
| 30.1#309 | FT rate | #27838.6 |
| 8.7#127 | Block% | #3256.6 |
| 49.4#257 | Assist% | #14851.1 |
| 53.4#112 | 2P% | #26853.8 |
| 31.5#307 | 3P% | #16533.7 |
| 76.4#44 | FT% | — |
| 34.6#285 | 3PA rate | #18539.4 |
Iowa offense vs Washington defense
| Iowa O | Stat | Washington D |
|---|---|---|
| 63.1#363 | Tempo | #20967.9 |
| 56.3#20 | eFG% | #11450.2 |
| 15.2#81 | TOV% | #32714.3 |
| 30.6#177 | ORB% | #8828.5 |
| 35.3#171 | FT rate | #8531.0 |
| 8.3#73 | Block% | #8211.2 |
| 57.4#65 | Assist% | #9049.1 |
| 58.5#16 | 2P% | #10250.0 |
| 35.5#91 | 3P% | #16333.6 |
| 77.0#34 | FT% | — |
| 41.9#135 | 3PA rate | #22738.2 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Washington
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Wisconsin35 | L 82–85 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | USC38 | W 83–79 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Oregon57 | L 79–85 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | USC38 | W 91–72 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Wisconsin35 | L 73–90 |
Iowa
| Sat, Mar 28 | N | Illinois7 | L 59–71 |
| Thu, Mar 26 | N | Nebraska19 | W 77–71 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Florida2 | W 73–72 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Clemson44 | W 67–61 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Ohio St.26 | L 69–72 |
