Model line
UCLA −16.8
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
UCLA 96%
Projected tempo
69.8
possessions
Site
UCLA home
4%Win probability96%
The model makes UCLA a 16.8-point favorite, winning about 96 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Penn St. offense vs UCLA defense
| Penn St. O | Stat | UCLA D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.5#223 | Tempo | #30865.8 |
| 53.0#105 | eFG% | #12050.3 |
| 15.6#114 | TOV% | #8718.3 |
| 25.9#325 | ORB% | #30233.1 |
| 33.8#217 | FT rate | #15734.2 |
| 9.8#224 | Block% | #1489.9 |
| 48.3#280 | Assist% | #35863.1 |
| 55.8#46 | 2P% | #20252.1 |
| 32.4#263 | 3P% | #6632.0 |
| 75.0#83 | FT% | — |
| 38.1#214 | 3PA rate | #3744.7 |
UCLA offense vs Penn St. defense
| UCLA O | Stat | Penn St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.8#308 | Tempo | #22367.5 |
| 53.6#82 | eFG% | #36358.4 |
| 13.3#11 | TOV% | #11417.7 |
| 31.2#160 | ORB% | #20831.1 |
| 32.8#241 | FT rate | #2727.5 |
| 8.0#60 | Block% | #3545.2 |
| 58.9#45 | Assist% | #33860.4 |
| 51.8#178 | 2P% | #35758.6 |
| 37.9#20 | 3P% | #36338.8 |
| 76.6#40 | FT% | — |
| 35.7#255 | 3PA rate | #5543.4 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Penn St.
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Northwestern85 | L 66–76 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | A | Rutgers75 | L 62–74 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Ohio St.26 | L 62–94 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Iowa41 | W 71–69 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Nebraska19 | L 64–87 |
UCLA
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Connecticut3 | L 57–73 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | UCF58 | W 75–71 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Purdue29 | L 66–73 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Michigan St.9 | W 88–84 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Rutgers75 | W 72–59 |
