Model line
Nebraska −1.1
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Nebraska 54%
Projected tempo
69.5
possessions
Site
Northwestern home
54%Win probability46%
The model makes Nebraska a 1.1-point favorite, winning about 54 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Nebraska offense vs Northwestern defense
| Nebraska O | Stat | Northwestern D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.0#247 | Tempo | #32265.3 |
| 55.6#27 | eFG% | #16151.0 |
| 14.4#38 | TOV% | #12217.5 |
| 26.4#314 | ORB% | #33134.7 |
| 26.4#356 | FT rate | #17234.8 |
| 9.3#163 | Block% | #10910.6 |
| 65.5#6 | Assist% | #36063.8 |
| 58.1#21 | 2P% | #17451.6 |
| 35.5#92 | 3P% | #14433.4 |
| 75.2#74 | FT% | — |
| 50.7#11 | 3PA rate | #15840.2 |
Northwestern offense vs Nebraska defense
| Northwestern O | Stat | Nebraska D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.3#322 | Tempo | #24767.0 |
| 51.7#164 | eFG% | #3647.7 |
| 13.0#7 | TOV% | #4219.2 |
| 28.1#263 | ORB% | #5527.7 |
| 33.9#213 | FT rate | #725.2 |
| 6.4#9 | Block% | #2408.4 |
| 65.8#5 | Assist% | #34560.9 |
| 52.9#133 | 2P% | #11350.3 |
| 33.0#230 | 3P% | #830.1 |
| 75.1#77 | FT% | — |
| 34.0#295 | 3PA rate | #550.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Nebraska
| Thu, Mar 26 | N | Iowa41 | L 71–77 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | Vanderbilt21 | W 74–72 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Troy152 | W 76–47 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Purdue29 | L 58–74 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | H | Iowa41 | W 84–75 |
Northwestern
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Purdue29 | L 68–81 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Indiana37 | W 74–61 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Penn St.90 | W 76–66 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Minnesota63 | L 66–67 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Purdue29 | L 66–70 |
