Model line
Iowa −10.2
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Iowa 86%
Projected tempo
67.2
possessions
Site
Iowa home
14%Win probability86%
The model makes Iowa a 10.2-point favorite, winning about 86 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Minnesota offense vs Iowa defense
| Minnesota O | Stat | Iowa D |
|---|---|---|
| 63.0#365 | Tempo | #36363.1 |
| 54.2#63 | eFG% | #24552.6 |
| 16.6#171 | TOV% | #1520.6 |
| 27.2#288 | ORB% | #6928.1 |
| 35.9#155 | FT rate | #27838.6 |
| 12.0#342 | Block% | #3256.6 |
| 72.0#1 | Assist% | #14851.1 |
| 56.0#43 | 2P% | #26853.8 |
| 34.8#130 | 3P% | #16533.7 |
| 70.0#274 | FT% | — |
| 47.1#31 | 3PA rate | #18539.4 |
Iowa offense vs Minnesota defense
| Iowa O | Stat | Minnesota D |
|---|---|---|
| 63.1#363 | Tempo | #36563.0 |
| 56.3#20 | eFG% | #20551.9 |
| 15.2#81 | TOV% | #14217.1 |
| 30.6#177 | ORB% | #14929.8 |
| 35.3#171 | FT rate | #2527.3 |
| 8.3#73 | Block% | #2488.2 |
| 57.4#65 | Assist% | #34961.4 |
| 58.5#16 | 2P% | #17751.7 |
| 35.5#91 | 3P% | #22934.7 |
| 77.0#34 | FT% | — |
| 41.9#135 | 3PA rate | #10441.7 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Minnesota
| Wed, Apr 1 | N | Baylor32 | L 48–67 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Rutgers75 | L 67–72 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Northwestern85 | W 67–66 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Indiana37 | L 47–77 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | UCLA18 | W 78–73 |
Iowa
| Sat, Mar 28 | N | Illinois7 | L 59–71 |
| Thu, Mar 26 | N | Nebraska19 | W 77–71 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Florida2 | W 73–72 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Clemson44 | W 67–61 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Ohio St.26 | L 69–72 |
