Model line
Oregon −3.4
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Oregon 64%
Projected tempo
69.3
possessions
Site
Oregon home
36%Win probability64%
The model makes Oregon a 3.4-point favorite, winning about 64 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Purdue offense vs Oregon defense
| Purdue O | Stat | Oregon D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.6#172 | Tempo | #17868.3 |
| 51.8#106 | eFG% | #10649.1 |
| 14.6#64 | TOV% | #18114.6 |
| 22.6#205 | ORB% | #1718.9 |
| 38.2#107 | FT rate | #5524.1 |
| 2.9#32 | Block% | #9910.7 |
| 65.4#54 | Assist% | #22272.7 |
| 61.8#54 | 2P% | #1032.1 |
| 23.8#192 | 3P% | #21043.3 |
| 71.4#101 | FT% | — |
| 38.2#156 | 3PA rate | #3951.7 |
Oregon offense vs Purdue defense
| Oregon O | Stat | Purdue D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.3#178 | Tempo | #17268.6 |
| 64.7#19 | eFG% | #10749.1 |
| 13.2#34 | TOV% | #18214.6 |
| 26.9#164 | ORB% | #10729.4 |
| 32.8#144 | FT rate | #22864.2 |
| 10.6#143 | Block% | #1865.4 |
| 60.0#77 | Assist% | #18765.2 |
| 63.8#42 | 2P% | #6845.9 |
| 45.5#23 | 3P% | #17237.5 |
| 63.2#163 | FT% | — |
| 19.0#240 | 3PA rate | #21530.2 |
Team stats from the 2026–27 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Purdue
| Mon, Nov 2 | N | Gonzaga15 | L 72–78 |
| Sat, Mar 28 | N | Arizona16 | L 64–79 |
| Thu, Mar 26 | N | Texas6 | W 79–77 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Miami FL23 | W 79–69 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Queens170 | W 104–71 |
Oregon
| Mon, Nov 2 | H | Montana237 | W 87–69 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Maryland42 | L 60–70 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Washington83 | W 85–79 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Illinois2 | L 54–80 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Northwestern87 | L 62–63 |
