Model line
UCLA −0.2
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
UCLA 51%
Projected tempo
68.6
possessions
Site
Northwestern home
51%Win probability49%
The model makes UCLA a 0.2-point favorite, winning about 51 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
UCLA offense vs Northwestern defense
| UCLA O | Stat | Northwestern D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.8#308 | Tempo | #32265.3 |
| 53.6#82 | eFG% | #16151.0 |
| 13.3#11 | TOV% | #12217.5 |
| 31.2#160 | ORB% | #33134.7 |
| 32.8#241 | FT rate | #17234.8 |
| 8.0#60 | Block% | #10910.6 |
| 58.9#45 | Assist% | #36063.8 |
| 51.8#178 | 2P% | #17451.6 |
| 37.9#20 | 3P% | #14433.4 |
| 76.6#40 | FT% | — |
| 35.7#255 | 3PA rate | #15840.2 |
Northwestern offense vs UCLA defense
| Northwestern O | Stat | UCLA D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.3#322 | Tempo | #30865.8 |
| 51.7#164 | eFG% | #12050.3 |
| 13.0#7 | TOV% | #8718.3 |
| 28.1#263 | ORB% | #30233.1 |
| 33.9#213 | FT rate | #15734.2 |
| 6.4#9 | Block% | #1489.9 |
| 65.8#5 | Assist% | #35863.1 |
| 52.9#133 | 2P% | #20252.1 |
| 33.0#230 | 3P% | #6632.0 |
| 75.1#77 | FT% | — |
| 34.0#295 | 3PA rate | #3744.7 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
UCLA
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Connecticut3 | L 57–73 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | UCF58 | W 75–71 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Purdue29 | L 66–73 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Michigan St.9 | W 88–84 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Rutgers75 | W 72–59 |
Northwestern
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Purdue29 | L 68–81 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Indiana37 | W 74–61 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Penn St.90 | W 76–66 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Minnesota63 | L 66–67 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Purdue29 | L 66–70 |
