Model line
Maryland −9.7
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Maryland 85%
Projected tempo
68.7
possessions
Site
Maryland home
15%Win probability85%
The model makes Maryland a 9.7-point favorite, winning about 85 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Minnesota offense vs Maryland defense
| Minnesota O | Stat | Maryland D |
|---|---|---|
| 63.0#365 | Tempo | #25666.7 |
| 54.2#63 | eFG% | #31154.4 |
| 16.6#171 | TOV% | #29614.9 |
| 27.2#288 | ORB% | #11329.1 |
| 35.9#155 | FT rate | #20535.8 |
| 12.0#342 | Block% | #1909.1 |
| 72.0#1 | Assist% | #34761.2 |
| 56.0#43 | 2P% | #29054.4 |
| 34.8#130 | 3P% | #31836.3 |
| 70.0#274 | FT% | — |
| 47.1#31 | 3PA rate | #6843.1 |
Maryland offense vs Minnesota defense
| Maryland O | Stat | Minnesota D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.7#256 | Tempo | #36563.0 |
| 48.1#311 | eFG% | #20551.9 |
| 18.6#304 | TOV% | #14217.1 |
| 33.8#73 | ORB% | #14929.8 |
| 36.4#142 | FT rate | #2527.3 |
| 11.6#328 | Block% | #2488.2 |
| 45.2#332 | Assist% | #34961.4 |
| 48.6#295 | 2P% | #17751.7 |
| 31.7#295 | 3P% | #22934.7 |
| 72.2#199 | FT% | — |
| 46.9#34 | 3PA rate | #10441.7 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Minnesota
| Wed, Apr 1 | N | Baylor32 | L 48–67 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Rutgers75 | L 67–72 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Northwestern85 | W 67–66 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Indiana37 | L 47–77 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | UCLA18 | W 78–73 |
Maryland
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Iowa41 | L 64–75 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Oregon57 | W 70–60 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | H | Illinois7 | L 72–78 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Wisconsin35 | L 45–78 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Rutgers75 | L 65–69 |
