Model line
Illinois −2.4
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Illinois 60%
Projected tempo
70.4
possessions
Site
Washington home
60%Win probability40%
The model makes Illinois a 2.4-point favorite, winning about 60 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Illinois offense vs Washington defense
| Illinois O | Stat | Washington D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.2#285 | Tempo | #20967.9 |
| 55.3#35 | eFG% | #11450.2 |
| 13.0#6 | TOV% | #32714.3 |
| 39.2#3 | ORB% | #8828.5 |
| 32.7#245 | FT rate | #8531.0 |
| 8.4#92 | Block% | #8211.2 |
| 50.9#219 | Assist% | #9049.1 |
| 58.1#20 | 2P% | #10250.0 |
| 35.0#114 | 3P% | #16333.6 |
| 78.4#13 | FT% | — |
| 50.4#15 | 3PA rate | #22738.2 |
Washington offense vs Illinois defense
| Washington O | Stat | Illinois D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.9#209 | Tempo | #28566.2 |
| 51.2#187 | eFG% | #3247.5 |
| 15.3#94 | TOV% | #36511.7 |
| 34.6#59 | ORB% | #3326.8 |
| 30.1#309 | FT rate | #119.7 |
| 8.7#127 | Block% | #3812.5 |
| 49.4#257 | Assist% | #13050.7 |
| 53.4#112 | 2P% | #4648.3 |
| 31.5#307 | 3P% | #3631.0 |
| 76.4#44 | FT% | — |
| 34.6#285 | 3PA rate | #8342.5 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Illinois
| Sat, Apr 4 | N | Connecticut3 | L 62–71 |
| Sat, Mar 28 | N | Iowa41 | W 71–59 |
| Thu, Mar 26 | N | Houston4 | W 65–55 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | VCU53 | W 76–55 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Penn123 | W 105–70 |
Washington
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Wisconsin35 | L 82–85 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | USC38 | W 83–79 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Oregon57 | L 79–85 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | USC38 | W 91–72 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Wisconsin35 | L 73–90 |
