Model line
Purdue −7.1
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Purdue 77%
Projected tempo
68.5
possessions
Site
Purdue home
23%Win probability77%
The model makes Purdue a 7.1-point favorite, winning about 77 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
UCLA offense vs Purdue defense
| UCLA O | Stat | Purdue D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.8#308 | Tempo | #32365.3 |
| 53.6#82 | eFG% | #23152.3 |
| 13.3#11 | TOV% | #25115.5 |
| 31.2#160 | ORB% | #2226.3 |
| 32.8#241 | FT rate | #825.4 |
| 8.0#60 | Block% | #1949.1 |
| 58.9#45 | Assist% | #31157.8 |
| 51.8#178 | 2P% | #24853.3 |
| 37.9#20 | 3P% | #18334.0 |
| 76.6#40 | FT% | — |
| 35.7#255 | 3PA rate | #3544.7 |
Purdue offense vs UCLA defense
| Purdue O | Stat | UCLA D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.3#323 | Tempo | #30865.8 |
| 58.1#10 | eFG% | #12050.3 |
| 13.6#17 | TOV% | #8718.3 |
| 36.8#19 | ORB% | #30233.1 |
| 28.3#339 | FT rate | #15734.2 |
| 6.7#14 | Block% | #1489.9 |
| 66.5#4 | Assist% | #35863.1 |
| 58.4#18 | 2P% | #20252.1 |
| 38.5#13 | 3P% | #6632.0 |
| 74.1#128 | FT% | — |
| 40.8#151 | 3PA rate | #3744.7 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
UCLA
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Connecticut3 | L 57–73 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | UCF58 | W 75–71 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Purdue29 | L 66–73 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Michigan St.9 | W 88–84 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Rutgers75 | W 72–59 |
Purdue
| Sat, Mar 28 | N | Arizona5 | L 64–79 |
| Thu, Mar 26 | N | Texas10 | W 79–77 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Miami FL13 | W 79–69 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Queens182 | W 104–71 |
| Sun, Mar 15 | N | Michigan24 | W 80–72 |
