Model line
Washington −4.5
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Washington 68%
Projected tempo
70.2
possessions
Site
Washington home
32%Win probability68%
The model makes Washington a 4.5-point favorite, winning about 68 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Maryland offense vs Washington defense
| Maryland O | Stat | Washington D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.7#256 | Tempo | #20967.9 |
| 48.1#311 | eFG% | #11450.2 |
| 18.6#304 | TOV% | #32714.3 |
| 33.8#73 | ORB% | #8828.5 |
| 36.4#142 | FT rate | #8531.0 |
| 11.6#328 | Block% | #8211.2 |
| 45.2#332 | Assist% | #9049.1 |
| 48.6#295 | 2P% | #10250.0 |
| 31.7#295 | 3P% | #16333.6 |
| 72.2#199 | FT% | — |
| 46.9#34 | 3PA rate | #22738.2 |
Washington offense vs Maryland defense
| Washington O | Stat | Maryland D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.9#209 | Tempo | #25666.7 |
| 51.2#187 | eFG% | #31154.4 |
| 15.3#94 | TOV% | #29614.9 |
| 34.6#59 | ORB% | #11329.1 |
| 30.1#309 | FT rate | #20535.8 |
| 8.7#127 | Block% | #1909.1 |
| 49.4#257 | Assist% | #34761.2 |
| 53.4#112 | 2P% | #29054.4 |
| 31.5#307 | 3P% | #31836.3 |
| 76.4#44 | FT% | — |
| 34.6#285 | 3PA rate | #6843.1 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Maryland
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Iowa41 | L 64–75 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Oregon57 | W 70–60 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | H | Illinois7 | L 72–78 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Wisconsin35 | L 45–78 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Rutgers75 | L 65–69 |
Washington
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Wisconsin35 | L 82–85 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | USC38 | W 83–79 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Oregon57 | L 79–85 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | USC38 | W 91–72 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Wisconsin35 | L 73–90 |
