Model line
USC −5.5
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
USC 72%
Projected tempo
71.1
possessions
Site
USC home
28%Win probability72%
The model makes USC a 5.5-point favorite, winning about 72 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Ohio St. offense vs USC defense
| Ohio St. O | Stat | USC D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.4#280 | Tempo | #5471.0 |
| 56.2#21 | eFG% | #8849.7 |
| 15.3#88 | TOV% | #20316.3 |
| 30.4#186 | ORB% | #27032.2 |
| 37.2#124 | FT rate | #13833.4 |
| 8.9#139 | Block% | #1214.9 |
| 52.6#175 | Assist% | #22854.1 |
| 58.0#23 | 2P% | #19852.0 |
| 35.7#75 | 3P% | #3430.9 |
| 77.7#23 | FT% | — |
| 40.1#170 | 3PA rate | #14840.4 |
USC offense vs Ohio St. defense
| USC O | Stat | Ohio St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.0#54 | Tempo | #28066.4 |
| 50.4#224 | eFG% | #11250.2 |
| 17.4#232 | TOV% | #24715.6 |
| 32.4#111 | ORB% | #16030.0 |
| 44.2#9 | FT rate | #17134.7 |
| 8.3#85 | Block% | #3117.0 |
| 56.5#81 | Assist% | #21053.3 |
| 51.8#179 | 2P% | #18951.9 |
| 31.7#299 | 3P% | #6231.9 |
| 72.6#183 | FT% | — |
| 34.1#292 | 3PA rate | #15240.3 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Ohio St.
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | TCU50 | L 64–66 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Michigan24 | L 67–71 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Iowa41 | W 72–69 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Indiana37 | W 91–78 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Penn St.90 | W 94–62 |
USC
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Washington78 | L 79–83 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | UCLA18 | L 68–89 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Washington78 | L 72–91 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Nebraska19 | L 67–82 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | A | UCLA18 | L 62–81 |
