Model line
Oregon −0.1
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Oregon 50%
Projected tempo
70.5
possessions
Site
Oregon home
50%Win probability50%
The model makes Oregon a 0.1-point favorite, winning about 50 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Illinois offense vs Oregon defense
| Illinois O | Stat | Oregon D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.2#285 | Tempo | #27066.5 |
| 55.3#35 | eFG% | #15350.9 |
| 13.0#6 | TOV% | #23915.7 |
| 39.2#3 | ORB% | #27432.3 |
| 32.7#245 | FT rate | #10532.0 |
| 8.4#92 | Block% | #5911.7 |
| 50.9#219 | Assist% | #19952.9 |
| 58.1#20 | 2P% | #16651.5 |
| 35.0#114 | 3P% | #14633.4 |
| 78.4#13 | FT% | — |
| 50.4#15 | 3PA rate | #9542.1 |
Oregon offense vs Illinois defense
| Oregon O | Stat | Illinois D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.5#270 | Tempo | #28566.2 |
| 49.5#266 | eFG% | #3247.5 |
| 17.6#247 | TOV% | #36511.7 |
| 32.3#113 | ORB% | #3326.8 |
| 35.0#181 | FT rate | #119.7 |
| 9.5#188 | Block% | #3812.5 |
| 59.0#43 | Assist% | #13050.7 |
| 50.5#237 | 2P% | #4648.3 |
| 32.1#277 | 3P% | #3631.0 |
| 73.0#170 | FT% | — |
| 42.8#120 | 3PA rate | #8342.5 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Illinois
| Sat, Apr 4 | N | Connecticut3 | L 62–71 |
| Sat, Mar 28 | N | Iowa41 | W 71–59 |
| Thu, Mar 26 | N | Houston4 | W 65–55 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | VCU53 | W 76–55 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Penn123 | W 105–70 |
Oregon
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Maryland46 | L 60–70 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Washington78 | W 85–79 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Illinois7 | L 54–80 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Northwestern85 | L 62–63 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Wisconsin35 | W 85–71 |
