Model line
Michigan St. −9.3
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Michigan St. 84%
Projected tempo
70.0
possessions
Site
Michigan St. home
16%Win probability84%
The model makes Michigan St. a 9.3-point favorite, winning about 84 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Nebraska offense vs Michigan St. defense
| Nebraska O | Stat | Michigan St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.0#247 | Tempo | #24667.0 |
| 55.6#27 | eFG% | #5548.7 |
| 14.4#38 | TOV% | #29714.9 |
| 26.4#314 | ORB% | #122.5 |
| 26.4#356 | FT rate | #6530.2 |
| 9.3#163 | Block% | #1713.7 |
| 65.5#6 | Assist% | #29656.5 |
| 58.1#21 | 2P% | #4748.4 |
| 35.5#92 | 3P% | #10132.7 |
| 75.2#74 | FT% | — |
| 50.7#11 | 3PA rate | #2146.3 |
Michigan St. offense vs Nebraska defense
| Michigan St. O | Stat | Nebraska D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.0#246 | Tempo | #24767.0 |
| 54.1#67 | eFG% | #3647.7 |
| 17.2#218 | TOV% | #4219.2 |
| 37.9#9 | ORB% | #5527.7 |
| 36.0#151 | FT rate | #725.2 |
| 8.0#58 | Block% | #2408.4 |
| 67.9#2 | Assist% | #34560.9 |
| 53.7#93 | 2P% | #11350.3 |
| 36.5#39 | 3P% | #830.1 |
| 76.5#42 | FT% | — |
| 36.7#236 | 3PA rate | #550.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Nebraska
| Thu, Mar 26 | N | Iowa41 | L 71–77 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | Vanderbilt21 | W 74–72 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Troy152 | W 76–47 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Purdue29 | L 58–74 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | H | Iowa41 | W 84–75 |
Michigan St.
| Fri, Mar 27 | N | Connecticut3 | L 63–67 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | Louisville15 | W 77–69 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | North Dakota St.170 | W 92–67 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | UCLA18 | L 84–88 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | A | Michigan24 | L 80–90 |
