Model line
Michigan −9.9
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Michigan 85%
Projected tempo
69.0
possessions
Site
Michigan home
15%Win probability85%
The model makes Michigan a 9.9-point favorite, winning about 85 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Iowa offense vs Michigan defense
| Iowa O | Stat | Michigan D |
|---|---|---|
| 63.1#363 | Tempo | #4171.3 |
| 56.3#20 | eFG% | #345.2 |
| 15.2#81 | TOV% | #26515.3 |
| 30.6#177 | ORB% | #4027.1 |
| 35.3#171 | FT rate | #1526.2 |
| 8.3#73 | Block% | #316.5 |
| 57.4#65 | Assist% | #5447.3 |
| 58.5#16 | 2P% | #444.5 |
| 35.5#91 | 3P% | #3130.8 |
| 77.0#34 | FT% | — |
| 41.9#135 | 3PA rate | #9242.2 |
Michigan offense vs Iowa defense
| Michigan O | Stat | Iowa D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.3#41 | Tempo | #36363.1 |
| 58.7#6 | eFG% | #24552.6 |
| 16.5#165 | TOV% | #1520.6 |
| 35.0#47 | ORB% | #6928.1 |
| 37.7#109 | FT rate | #27838.6 |
| 9.0#145 | Block% | #3256.6 |
| 61.1#25 | Assist% | #14851.1 |
| 61.5#2 | 2P% | #26853.8 |
| 36.6#36 | 3P% | #16533.7 |
| 74.7#94 | FT% | — |
| 41.7#140 | 3PA rate | #18539.4 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Iowa
| Sat, Mar 28 | N | Illinois7 | L 59–71 |
| Thu, Mar 26 | N | Nebraska19 | W 77–71 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Florida2 | W 73–72 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Clemson44 | W 67–61 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Ohio St.26 | L 69–72 |
Michigan
| Mon, Apr 6 | N | Connecticut3 | W 69–63 |
| Sat, Apr 4 | N | Arizona5 | W 91–73 |
| Sun, Mar 29 | N | Tennessee11 | W 95–62 |
| Fri, Mar 27 | N | Alabama16 | W 90–77 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | Saint Louis60 | W 95–72 |
