Model line
UCLA −6.5
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
UCLA 75%
Projected tempo
69.2
possessions
Site
UCLA home
25%Win probability75%
The model makes UCLA a 6.5-point favorite, winning about 75 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Ohio St. offense vs UCLA defense
| Ohio St. O | Stat | UCLA D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.4#280 | Tempo | #30865.8 |
| 56.2#21 | eFG% | #12050.3 |
| 15.3#88 | TOV% | #8718.3 |
| 30.4#186 | ORB% | #30233.1 |
| 37.2#124 | FT rate | #15734.2 |
| 8.9#139 | Block% | #1489.9 |
| 52.6#175 | Assist% | #35863.1 |
| 58.0#23 | 2P% | #20252.1 |
| 35.7#75 | 3P% | #6632.0 |
| 77.7#23 | FT% | — |
| 40.1#170 | 3PA rate | #3744.7 |
UCLA offense vs Ohio St. defense
| UCLA O | Stat | Ohio St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.8#308 | Tempo | #28066.4 |
| 53.6#82 | eFG% | #11250.2 |
| 13.3#11 | TOV% | #24715.6 |
| 31.2#160 | ORB% | #16030.0 |
| 32.8#241 | FT rate | #17134.7 |
| 8.0#60 | Block% | #3117.0 |
| 58.9#45 | Assist% | #21053.3 |
| 51.8#178 | 2P% | #18951.9 |
| 37.9#20 | 3P% | #6231.9 |
| 76.6#40 | FT% | — |
| 35.7#255 | 3PA rate | #15240.3 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Ohio St.
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | TCU50 | L 64–66 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Michigan24 | L 67–71 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Iowa41 | W 72–69 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Indiana37 | W 91–78 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Penn St.90 | W 94–62 |
UCLA
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Connecticut3 | L 57–73 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | UCF58 | W 75–71 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Purdue29 | L 66–73 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Michigan St.9 | W 88–84 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Rutgers75 | W 72–59 |
