Model line
Penn St. −4.9
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Penn St. 70%
Projected tempo
70.8
possessions
Site
Penn St. home
30%Win probability70%
The model makes Penn St. a 4.9-point favorite, winning about 70 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Washington offense vs Penn St. defense
| Washington O | Stat | Penn St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.9#209 | Tempo | #22367.5 |
| 51.2#187 | eFG% | #36358.4 |
| 15.3#94 | TOV% | #11417.7 |
| 34.6#59 | ORB% | #20831.1 |
| 30.1#309 | FT rate | #2727.5 |
| 8.7#127 | Block% | #3545.2 |
| 49.4#257 | Assist% | #33860.4 |
| 53.4#112 | 2P% | #35758.6 |
| 31.5#307 | 3P% | #36338.8 |
| 76.4#44 | FT% | — |
| 34.6#285 | 3PA rate | #5543.4 |
Penn St. offense vs Washington defense
| Penn St. O | Stat | Washington D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.5#223 | Tempo | #20967.9 |
| 53.0#105 | eFG% | #11450.2 |
| 15.6#114 | TOV% | #32714.3 |
| 25.9#325 | ORB% | #8828.5 |
| 33.8#217 | FT rate | #8531.0 |
| 9.8#224 | Block% | #8211.2 |
| 48.3#280 | Assist% | #9049.1 |
| 55.8#46 | 2P% | #10250.0 |
| 32.4#263 | 3P% | #16333.6 |
| 75.0#83 | FT% | — |
| 38.1#214 | 3PA rate | #22738.2 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Washington
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Wisconsin35 | L 82–85 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | USC38 | W 83–79 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Oregon57 | L 79–85 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | USC38 | W 91–72 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Wisconsin35 | L 73–90 |
Penn St.
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Northwestern85 | L 66–76 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | A | Rutgers75 | L 62–74 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Ohio St.26 | L 62–94 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Iowa41 | W 71–69 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Nebraska19 | L 64–87 |
