Model line
Northwestern −3.6
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Northwestern 65%
Projected tempo
67.4
possessions
Site
Northwestern home
35%Win probability65%
The model makes Northwestern a 3.6-point favorite, winning about 65 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Iowa offense vs Northwestern defense
| Iowa O | Stat | Northwestern D |
|---|---|---|
| — | Tempo | #22863.5 |
| — | eFG% | #7445.2 |
| — | TOV% | #10518.9 |
| — | ORB% | #2320.0 |
| — | FT rate | #8128.8 |
| — | Block% | #1308.8 |
| — | Assist% | #14657.1 |
| — | 2P% | #7847.1 |
| — | 3P% | #8527.8 |
| — | FT% | — |
| — | 3PA rate | #19334.6 |
Northwestern offense vs Iowa defense
| Northwestern O | Stat | Iowa D |
|---|---|---|
| 63.5#228 | Tempo | — |
| 67.3#9 | eFG% | — |
| 12.6#26 | TOV% | — |
| 37.0#62 | ORB% | — |
| 48.1#50 | FT rate | — |
| 4.5#48 | Block% | — |
| 79.3#6 | Assist% | — |
| 77.3#3 | 2P% | — |
| 40.0#53 | 3P% | — |
| 64.0#156 | FT% | — |
| 57.7#18 | 3PA rate | — |
Team stats from the 2026–27 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Iowa
| Sat, Mar 28 | N | Illinois2 | L 59–71 |
| Thu, Mar 26 | N | Nebraska11 | W 77–71 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Florida3 | W 73–72 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Clemson54 | W 67–61 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Ohio St.35 | L 69–72 |
Northwestern
| Mon, Nov 2 | H | Binghamton354 | W 86–60 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Purdue37 | L 68–81 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Indiana30 | W 74–61 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Penn St.78 | W 76–66 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Minnesota55 | L 66–67 |
