Model line
Minnesota −8.0
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Minnesota 80%
Projected tempo
69.1
possessions
Site
Minnesota home
20%Win probability80%
The model makes Minnesota a 8.0-point favorite, winning about 80 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Oregon offense vs Minnesota defense
| Oregon O | Stat | Minnesota D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.5#270 | Tempo | #36563.0 |
| 49.5#266 | eFG% | #20551.9 |
| 17.6#247 | TOV% | #14217.1 |
| 32.3#113 | ORB% | #14929.8 |
| 35.0#181 | FT rate | #2527.3 |
| 9.5#188 | Block% | #2488.2 |
| 59.0#43 | Assist% | #34961.4 |
| 50.5#237 | 2P% | #17751.7 |
| 32.1#277 | 3P% | #22934.7 |
| 73.0#170 | FT% | — |
| 42.8#120 | 3PA rate | #10441.7 |
Minnesota offense vs Oregon defense
| Minnesota O | Stat | Oregon D |
|---|---|---|
| 63.0#365 | Tempo | #27066.5 |
| 54.2#63 | eFG% | #15350.9 |
| 16.6#171 | TOV% | #23915.7 |
| 27.2#288 | ORB% | #27432.3 |
| 35.9#155 | FT rate | #10532.0 |
| 12.0#342 | Block% | #5911.7 |
| 72.0#1 | Assist% | #19952.9 |
| 56.0#43 | 2P% | #16651.5 |
| 34.8#130 | 3P% | #14633.4 |
| 70.0#274 | FT% | — |
| 47.1#31 | 3PA rate | #9542.1 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Oregon
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Maryland46 | L 60–70 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Washington78 | W 85–79 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Illinois7 | L 54–80 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Northwestern85 | L 62–63 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Wisconsin35 | W 85–71 |
Minnesota
| Wed, Apr 1 | N | Baylor32 | L 48–67 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Rutgers75 | L 67–72 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Northwestern85 | W 67–66 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Indiana37 | L 47–77 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | UCLA18 | W 78–73 |
