Model line
Nebraska −16.5
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Nebraska 96%
Projected tempo
70.7
possessions
Site
Nebraska home
4%Win probability96%
The model makes Nebraska a 16.5-point favorite, winning about 96 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Penn St. offense vs Nebraska defense
| Penn St. O | Stat | Nebraska D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.5#223 | Tempo | #24767.0 |
| 53.0#105 | eFG% | #3647.7 |
| 15.6#114 | TOV% | #4219.2 |
| 25.9#325 | ORB% | #5527.7 |
| 33.8#217 | FT rate | #725.2 |
| 9.8#224 | Block% | #2408.4 |
| 48.3#280 | Assist% | #34560.9 |
| 55.8#46 | 2P% | #11350.3 |
| 32.4#263 | 3P% | #830.1 |
| 75.0#83 | FT% | — |
| 38.1#214 | 3PA rate | #550.0 |
Nebraska offense vs Penn St. defense
| Nebraska O | Stat | Penn St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.0#247 | Tempo | #22367.5 |
| 55.6#27 | eFG% | #36358.4 |
| 14.4#38 | TOV% | #11417.7 |
| 26.4#314 | ORB% | #20831.1 |
| 26.4#356 | FT rate | #2727.5 |
| 9.3#163 | Block% | #3545.2 |
| 65.5#6 | Assist% | #33860.4 |
| 58.1#21 | 2P% | #35758.6 |
| 35.5#92 | 3P% | #36338.8 |
| 75.2#74 | FT% | — |
| 50.7#11 | 3PA rate | #5543.4 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Penn St.
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Northwestern85 | L 66–76 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | A | Rutgers75 | L 62–74 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Ohio St.26 | L 62–94 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Iowa41 | W 71–69 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Nebraska19 | L 64–87 |
Nebraska
| Thu, Mar 26 | N | Iowa41 | L 71–77 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | Vanderbilt21 | W 74–72 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Troy152 | W 76–47 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Purdue29 | L 58–74 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | H | Iowa41 | W 84–75 |
