Model line
Washington −2.8
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Washington 62%
Projected tempo
71.4
possessions
Site
Washington home
38%Win probability62%
The model makes Washington a 2.8-point favorite, winning about 62 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
USC offense vs Washington defense
| USC O | Stat | Washington D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.0#54 | Tempo | #20967.9 |
| 50.4#224 | eFG% | #11450.2 |
| 17.4#232 | TOV% | #32714.3 |
| 32.4#111 | ORB% | #8828.5 |
| 44.2#9 | FT rate | #8531.0 |
| 8.3#85 | Block% | #8211.2 |
| 56.5#81 | Assist% | #9049.1 |
| 51.8#179 | 2P% | #10250.0 |
| 31.7#299 | 3P% | #16333.6 |
| 72.6#183 | FT% | — |
| 34.1#292 | 3PA rate | #22738.2 |
Washington offense vs USC defense
| Washington O | Stat | USC D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.9#209 | Tempo | #5471.0 |
| 51.2#187 | eFG% | #8849.7 |
| 15.3#94 | TOV% | #20316.3 |
| 34.6#59 | ORB% | #27032.2 |
| 30.1#309 | FT rate | #13833.4 |
| 8.7#127 | Block% | #1214.9 |
| 49.4#257 | Assist% | #22854.1 |
| 53.4#112 | 2P% | #19852.0 |
| 31.5#307 | 3P% | #3430.9 |
| 76.4#44 | FT% | — |
| 34.6#285 | 3PA rate | #14840.4 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
USC
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Washington78 | L 79–83 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | UCLA18 | L 68–89 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Washington78 | L 72–91 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Nebraska19 | L 67–82 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | A | UCLA18 | L 62–81 |
Washington
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Wisconsin35 | L 82–85 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | USC38 | W 83–79 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Oregon57 | L 79–85 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | USC38 | W 91–72 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Wisconsin35 | L 73–90 |
