Model line
Michigan St. −17.2
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Michigan St. 96%
Projected tempo
70.1
possessions
Site
Michigan St. home
4%Win probability96%
The model makes Michigan St. a 17.2-point favorite, winning about 96 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Rutgers offense vs Michigan St. defense
| Rutgers O | Stat | Michigan St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.5#271 | Tempo | #24667.0 |
| 47.5#328 | eFG% | #5548.7 |
| 15.1#70 | TOV% | #29714.9 |
| 29.8#211 | ORB% | #122.5 |
| 36.1#148 | FT rate | #6530.2 |
| 9.8#225 | Block% | #1713.7 |
| 50.6#230 | Assist% | #29656.5 |
| 46.6#337 | 2P% | #4748.4 |
| 32.8#240 | 3P% | #10132.7 |
| 74.1#129 | FT% | — |
| 34.6#284 | 3PA rate | #2146.3 |
Michigan St. offense vs Rutgers defense
| Michigan St. O | Stat | Rutgers D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.0#246 | Tempo | #27166.5 |
| 54.1#67 | eFG% | #27253.0 |
| 17.2#218 | TOV% | #14517.1 |
| 37.9#9 | ORB% | #30033.1 |
| 36.0#151 | FT rate | #9331.4 |
| 8.0#58 | Block% | #1569.7 |
| 67.9#2 | Assist% | #32758.5 |
| 53.7#93 | 2P% | #22152.5 |
| 36.5#39 | 3P% | #29735.8 |
| 76.5#42 | FT% | — |
| 36.7#236 | 3PA rate | #20439.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Rutgers
| Thu, Apr 2 | N | Creighton36 | L 69–82 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | UCLA18 | L 59–72 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Minnesota63 | W 72–67 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | H | Penn St.90 | W 74–62 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | Michigan St.9 | L 87–91 |
Michigan St.
| Fri, Mar 27 | N | Connecticut3 | L 63–67 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | Louisville15 | W 77–69 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | North Dakota St.170 | W 92–67 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | UCLA18 | L 84–88 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | A | Michigan24 | L 80–90 |
