Model line
Iowa −9.8
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Iowa 85%
Projected tempo
68.7
possessions
Site
Iowa home
15%Win probability85%
The model makes Iowa a 9.8-point favorite, winning about 85 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Oregon offense vs Iowa defense
| Oregon O | Stat | Iowa D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.5#270 | Tempo | #36363.1 |
| 49.5#266 | eFG% | #24552.6 |
| 17.6#247 | TOV% | #1520.6 |
| 32.3#113 | ORB% | #6928.1 |
| 35.0#181 | FT rate | #27838.6 |
| 9.5#188 | Block% | #3256.6 |
| 59.0#43 | Assist% | #14851.1 |
| 50.5#237 | 2P% | #26853.8 |
| 32.1#277 | 3P% | #16533.7 |
| 73.0#170 | FT% | — |
| 42.8#120 | 3PA rate | #18539.4 |
Iowa offense vs Oregon defense
| Iowa O | Stat | Oregon D |
|---|---|---|
| 63.1#363 | Tempo | #27066.5 |
| 56.3#20 | eFG% | #15350.9 |
| 15.2#81 | TOV% | #23915.7 |
| 30.6#177 | ORB% | #27432.3 |
| 35.3#171 | FT rate | #10532.0 |
| 8.3#73 | Block% | #5911.7 |
| 57.4#65 | Assist% | #19952.9 |
| 58.5#16 | 2P% | #16651.5 |
| 35.5#91 | 3P% | #14633.4 |
| 77.0#34 | FT% | — |
| 41.9#135 | 3PA rate | #9542.1 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Oregon
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Maryland46 | L 60–70 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Washington78 | W 85–79 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Illinois7 | L 54–80 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Northwestern85 | L 62–63 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Wisconsin35 | W 85–71 |
Iowa
| Sat, Mar 28 | N | Illinois7 | L 59–71 |
| Thu, Mar 26 | N | Nebraska19 | W 77–71 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Florida2 | W 73–72 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Clemson44 | W 67–61 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Ohio St.26 | L 69–72 |
