Model line
UCLA −14.0
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
UCLA 93%
Projected tempo
68.0
possessions
Site
UCLA home
7%Win probability93%
The model makes UCLA a 14.0-point favorite, winning about 93 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Minnesota offense vs UCLA defense
| Minnesota O | Stat | UCLA D |
|---|---|---|
| 63.0#365 | Tempo | #30865.8 |
| 54.2#63 | eFG% | #12050.3 |
| 16.6#171 | TOV% | #8718.3 |
| 27.2#288 | ORB% | #30233.1 |
| 35.9#155 | FT rate | #15734.2 |
| 12.0#342 | Block% | #1489.9 |
| 72.0#1 | Assist% | #35863.1 |
| 56.0#43 | 2P% | #20252.1 |
| 34.8#130 | 3P% | #6632.0 |
| 70.0#274 | FT% | — |
| 47.1#31 | 3PA rate | #3744.7 |
UCLA offense vs Minnesota defense
| UCLA O | Stat | Minnesota D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.8#308 | Tempo | #36563.0 |
| 53.6#82 | eFG% | #20551.9 |
| 13.3#11 | TOV% | #14217.1 |
| 31.2#160 | ORB% | #14929.8 |
| 32.8#241 | FT rate | #2527.3 |
| 8.0#60 | Block% | #2488.2 |
| 58.9#45 | Assist% | #34961.4 |
| 51.8#178 | 2P% | #17751.7 |
| 37.9#20 | 3P% | #22934.7 |
| 76.6#40 | FT% | — |
| 35.7#255 | 3PA rate | #10441.7 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Minnesota
| Wed, Apr 1 | N | Baylor32 | L 48–67 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Rutgers75 | L 67–72 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Northwestern85 | W 67–66 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Indiana37 | L 47–77 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | UCLA18 | W 78–73 |
UCLA
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Connecticut3 | L 57–73 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | UCF58 | W 75–71 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Purdue29 | L 66–73 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Michigan St.9 | W 88–84 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Rutgers75 | W 72–59 |
