Model line
Michigan −0.1
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Michigan 50%
Projected tempo
71.1
possessions
Site
Michigan home
50%Win probability50%
The model makes Michigan a 0.1-point favorite, winning about 50 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Illinois offense vs Michigan defense
| Illinois O | Stat | Michigan D |
|---|---|---|
| 75.4#47 | Tempo | #9172.4 |
| 66.9#13 | eFG% | #1936.5 |
| 9.3#4 | TOV% | #7820.7 |
| 55.0#5 | ORB% | #22444.7 |
| 19.3#215 | FT rate | #19147.6 |
| 12.5#166 | Block% | #3716.2 |
| 65.2#57 | Assist% | #225.0 |
| 84.4#1 | 2P% | #2537.8 |
| 37.3#73 | 3P% | #4323.1 |
| 56.3#204 | FT% | — |
| 61.4#6 | 3PA rate | #11741.3 |
Michigan offense vs Illinois defense
| Michigan O | Stat | Illinois D |
|---|---|---|
| 72.4#91 | Tempo | #4775.4 |
| 48.6#140 | eFG% | #832.0 |
| 12.4#25 | TOV% | #15715.9 |
| 41.0#38 | ORB% | #26.5 |
| 28.2#165 | FT rate | #2418.0 |
| 2.7#24 | Block% | #5914.3 |
| 54.8#119 | Assist% | #7447.1 |
| 64.9#34 | 2P% | #5242.9 |
| 20.6#216 | 3P% | #915.2 |
| 75.0#67 | FT% | — |
| 47.9#57 | 3PA rate | #2654.1 |
Team stats from the 2026–27 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Illinois
| Mon, Nov 2 | H | Fairleigh Dickinson359 | W 120–45 |
| Sat, Apr 4 | N | Connecticut5 | L 62–71 |
| Sat, Mar 28 | N | Iowa41 | W 71–59 |
| Thu, Mar 26 | N | Houston4 | W 65–55 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | VCU63 | W 76–55 |
Michigan
| Mon, Nov 2 | H | Oakland202 | W 84–68 |
| Mon, Apr 6 | N | Connecticut5 | W 69–63 |
| Sat, Apr 4 | N | Arizona16 | W 91–73 |
| Sun, Mar 29 | N | Tennessee12 | W 95–62 |
| Fri, Mar 27 | N | Alabama14 | W 90–77 |
