Model line
USC −10.5
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
USC 87%
Projected tempo
69.9
possessions
Site
USC home
14%Win probability87%
The model makes USC a 10.5-point favorite, winning about 87 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Minnesota offense vs USC defense
| Minnesota O | Stat | USC D |
|---|---|---|
| 63.0#365 | Tempo | #5471.0 |
| 54.2#63 | eFG% | #8849.7 |
| 16.6#171 | TOV% | #20316.3 |
| 27.2#288 | ORB% | #27032.2 |
| 35.9#155 | FT rate | #13833.4 |
| 12.0#342 | Block% | #1214.9 |
| 72.0#1 | Assist% | #22854.1 |
| 56.0#43 | 2P% | #19852.0 |
| 34.8#130 | 3P% | #3430.9 |
| 70.0#274 | FT% | — |
| 47.1#31 | 3PA rate | #14840.4 |
USC offense vs Minnesota defense
| USC O | Stat | Minnesota D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.0#54 | Tempo | #36563.0 |
| 50.4#224 | eFG% | #20551.9 |
| 17.4#232 | TOV% | #14217.1 |
| 32.4#111 | ORB% | #14929.8 |
| 44.2#9 | FT rate | #2527.3 |
| 8.3#85 | Block% | #2488.2 |
| 56.5#81 | Assist% | #34961.4 |
| 51.8#179 | 2P% | #17751.7 |
| 31.7#299 | 3P% | #22934.7 |
| 72.6#183 | FT% | — |
| 34.1#292 | 3PA rate | #10441.7 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Minnesota
| Wed, Apr 1 | N | Baylor32 | L 48–67 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Rutgers75 | L 67–72 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Northwestern85 | W 67–66 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Indiana37 | L 47–77 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | UCLA18 | W 78–73 |
USC
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Washington78 | L 79–83 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | UCLA18 | L 68–89 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Washington78 | L 72–91 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Nebraska19 | L 67–82 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | A | UCLA18 | L 62–81 |
