Model line
UCLA −9.5
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
UCLA 84%
Projected tempo
67.7
possessions
Site
UCLA home
16%Win probability84%
The model makes UCLA a 9.5-point favorite, winning about 84 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Iowa offense vs UCLA defense
| Iowa O | Stat | UCLA D |
|---|---|---|
| 63.1#363 | Tempo | #30865.8 |
| 56.3#20 | eFG% | #12050.3 |
| 15.2#81 | TOV% | #8718.3 |
| 30.6#177 | ORB% | #30233.1 |
| 35.3#171 | FT rate | #15734.2 |
| 8.3#73 | Block% | #1489.9 |
| 57.4#65 | Assist% | #35863.1 |
| 58.5#16 | 2P% | #20252.1 |
| 35.5#91 | 3P% | #6632.0 |
| 77.0#34 | FT% | — |
| 41.9#135 | 3PA rate | #3744.7 |
UCLA offense vs Iowa defense
| UCLA O | Stat | Iowa D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.8#308 | Tempo | #36363.1 |
| 53.6#82 | eFG% | #24552.6 |
| 13.3#11 | TOV% | #1520.6 |
| 31.2#160 | ORB% | #6928.1 |
| 32.8#241 | FT rate | #27838.6 |
| 8.0#60 | Block% | #3256.6 |
| 58.9#45 | Assist% | #14851.1 |
| 51.8#178 | 2P% | #26853.8 |
| 37.9#20 | 3P% | #16533.7 |
| 76.6#40 | FT% | — |
| 35.7#255 | 3PA rate | #18539.4 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Iowa
| Sat, Mar 28 | N | Illinois7 | L 59–71 |
| Thu, Mar 26 | N | Nebraska19 | W 77–71 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Florida2 | W 73–72 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Clemson44 | W 67–61 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Ohio St.26 | L 69–72 |
UCLA
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Connecticut3 | L 57–73 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | UCF58 | W 75–71 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Purdue29 | L 66–73 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Michigan St.9 | W 88–84 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Rutgers75 | W 72–59 |
