Model line
Purdue −15.3
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Purdue 95%
Projected tempo
68.5
possessions
Site
Purdue home
5%Win probability95%
The model makes Purdue a 15.3-point favorite, winning about 95 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Northwestern offense vs Purdue defense
| Northwestern O | Stat | Purdue D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.3#322 | Tempo | #32365.3 |
| 51.7#164 | eFG% | #23152.3 |
| 13.0#7 | TOV% | #25115.5 |
| 28.1#263 | ORB% | #2226.3 |
| 33.9#213 | FT rate | #825.4 |
| 6.4#9 | Block% | #1949.1 |
| 65.8#5 | Assist% | #31157.8 |
| 52.9#133 | 2P% | #24853.3 |
| 33.0#230 | 3P% | #18334.0 |
| 75.1#77 | FT% | — |
| 34.0#295 | 3PA rate | #3544.7 |
Purdue offense vs Northwestern defense
| Purdue O | Stat | Northwestern D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.3#323 | Tempo | #32265.3 |
| 58.1#10 | eFG% | #16151.0 |
| 13.6#17 | TOV% | #12217.5 |
| 36.8#19 | ORB% | #33134.7 |
| 28.3#339 | FT rate | #17234.8 |
| 6.7#14 | Block% | #10910.6 |
| 66.5#4 | Assist% | #36063.8 |
| 58.4#18 | 2P% | #17451.6 |
| 38.5#13 | 3P% | #14433.4 |
| 74.1#128 | FT% | — |
| 40.8#151 | 3PA rate | #15840.2 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Northwestern
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Purdue29 | L 68–81 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Indiana37 | W 74–61 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Penn St.90 | W 76–66 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Minnesota63 | L 66–67 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Purdue29 | L 66–70 |
Purdue
| Sat, Mar 28 | N | Arizona5 | L 64–79 |
| Thu, Mar 26 | N | Texas10 | W 79–77 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Miami FL13 | W 79–69 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Queens182 | W 104–71 |
| Sun, Mar 15 | N | Michigan24 | W 80–72 |
