Model line
USC −8.1
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
USC 80%
Projected tempo
69.5
possessions
Site
USC home
20%Win probability80%
The model makes USC a 8.1-point favorite, winning about 80 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Iowa offense vs USC defense
| Iowa O | Stat | USC D |
|---|---|---|
| 63.1#363 | Tempo | #5471.0 |
| 56.3#20 | eFG% | #8849.7 |
| 15.2#81 | TOV% | #20316.3 |
| 30.6#177 | ORB% | #27032.2 |
| 35.3#171 | FT rate | #13833.4 |
| 8.3#73 | Block% | #1214.9 |
| 57.4#65 | Assist% | #22854.1 |
| 58.5#16 | 2P% | #19852.0 |
| 35.5#91 | 3P% | #3430.9 |
| 77.0#34 | FT% | — |
| 41.9#135 | 3PA rate | #14840.4 |
USC offense vs Iowa defense
| USC O | Stat | Iowa D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.0#54 | Tempo | #36363.1 |
| 50.4#224 | eFG% | #24552.6 |
| 17.4#232 | TOV% | #1520.6 |
| 32.4#111 | ORB% | #6928.1 |
| 44.2#9 | FT rate | #27838.6 |
| 8.3#85 | Block% | #3256.6 |
| 56.5#81 | Assist% | #14851.1 |
| 51.8#179 | 2P% | #26853.8 |
| 31.7#299 | 3P% | #16533.7 |
| 72.6#183 | FT% | — |
| 34.1#292 | 3PA rate | #18539.4 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Iowa
| Sat, Mar 28 | N | Illinois7 | L 59–71 |
| Thu, Mar 26 | N | Nebraska19 | W 77–71 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Florida2 | W 73–72 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Clemson44 | W 67–61 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Ohio St.26 | L 69–72 |
USC
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Washington78 | L 79–83 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | UCLA18 | L 68–89 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Washington78 | L 72–91 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Nebraska19 | L 67–82 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | A | UCLA18 | L 62–81 |
