Model line
Michigan St. −12.8
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Michigan St. 91%
Projected tempo
69.8
possessions
Site
Michigan St. home
9%Win probability91%
The model makes Michigan St. a 12.8-point favorite, winning about 91 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Maryland offense vs Michigan St. defense
| Maryland O | Stat | Michigan St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.7#256 | Tempo | #24667.0 |
| 48.1#311 | eFG% | #5548.7 |
| 18.6#304 | TOV% | #29714.9 |
| 33.8#73 | ORB% | #122.5 |
| 36.4#142 | FT rate | #6530.2 |
| 11.6#328 | Block% | #1713.7 |
| 45.2#332 | Assist% | #29656.5 |
| 48.6#295 | 2P% | #4748.4 |
| 31.7#295 | 3P% | #10132.7 |
| 72.2#199 | FT% | — |
| 46.9#34 | 3PA rate | #2146.3 |
Michigan St. offense vs Maryland defense
| Michigan St. O | Stat | Maryland D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.0#246 | Tempo | #25666.7 |
| 54.1#67 | eFG% | #31154.4 |
| 17.2#218 | TOV% | #29614.9 |
| 37.9#9 | ORB% | #11329.1 |
| 36.0#151 | FT rate | #20535.8 |
| 8.0#58 | Block% | #1909.1 |
| 67.9#2 | Assist% | #34761.2 |
| 53.7#93 | 2P% | #29054.4 |
| 36.5#39 | 3P% | #31836.3 |
| 76.5#42 | FT% | — |
| 36.7#236 | 3PA rate | #6843.1 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Maryland
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Iowa41 | L 64–75 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Oregon57 | W 70–60 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | H | Illinois7 | L 72–78 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Wisconsin35 | L 45–78 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Rutgers75 | L 65–69 |
Michigan St.
| Fri, Mar 27 | N | Connecticut3 | L 63–67 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | Louisville15 | W 77–69 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | North Dakota St.170 | W 92–67 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | UCLA18 | L 84–88 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | A | Michigan24 | L 80–90 |
