Model line
Illinois −11.0
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Illinois 88%
Projected tempo
69.3
possessions
Site
Illinois home
12%Win probability88%
The model makes Illinois a 11.0-point favorite, winning about 88 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
UCLA offense vs Illinois defense
| UCLA O | Stat | Illinois D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.8#308 | Tempo | #28566.2 |
| 53.6#82 | eFG% | #3247.5 |
| 13.3#11 | TOV% | #36511.7 |
| 31.2#160 | ORB% | #3326.8 |
| 32.8#241 | FT rate | #119.7 |
| 8.0#60 | Block% | #3812.5 |
| 58.9#45 | Assist% | #13050.7 |
| 51.8#178 | 2P% | #4648.3 |
| 37.9#20 | 3P% | #3631.0 |
| 76.6#40 | FT% | — |
| 35.7#255 | 3PA rate | #8342.5 |
Illinois offense vs UCLA defense
| Illinois O | Stat | UCLA D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.2#285 | Tempo | #30865.8 |
| 55.3#35 | eFG% | #12050.3 |
| 13.0#6 | TOV% | #8718.3 |
| 39.2#3 | ORB% | #30233.1 |
| 32.7#245 | FT rate | #15734.2 |
| 8.4#92 | Block% | #1489.9 |
| 50.9#219 | Assist% | #35863.1 |
| 58.1#20 | 2P% | #20252.1 |
| 35.0#114 | 3P% | #6632.0 |
| 78.4#13 | FT% | — |
| 50.4#15 | 3PA rate | #3744.7 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
UCLA
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Connecticut3 | L 57–73 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | UCF58 | W 75–71 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Purdue29 | L 66–73 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Michigan St.9 | W 88–84 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Rutgers75 | W 72–59 |
Illinois
| Sat, Apr 4 | N | Connecticut3 | L 62–71 |
| Sat, Mar 28 | N | Iowa41 | W 71–59 |
| Thu, Mar 26 | N | Houston4 | W 65–55 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | VCU53 | W 76–55 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Penn123 | W 105–70 |
