Model line
Penn St. −2.1
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Penn St. 59%
Projected tempo
70.5
possessions
Site
Penn St. home
41%Win probability59%
The model makes Penn St. a 2.1-point favorite, winning about 59 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Maryland offense vs Penn St. defense
| Maryland O | Stat | Penn St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.7#256 | Tempo | #22367.5 |
| 48.1#311 | eFG% | #36358.4 |
| 18.6#304 | TOV% | #11417.7 |
| 33.8#73 | ORB% | #20831.1 |
| 36.4#142 | FT rate | #2727.5 |
| 11.6#328 | Block% | #3545.2 |
| 45.2#332 | Assist% | #33860.4 |
| 48.6#295 | 2P% | #35758.6 |
| 31.7#295 | 3P% | #36338.8 |
| 72.2#199 | FT% | — |
| 46.9#34 | 3PA rate | #5543.4 |
Penn St. offense vs Maryland defense
| Penn St. O | Stat | Maryland D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.5#223 | Tempo | #25666.7 |
| 53.0#105 | eFG% | #31154.4 |
| 15.6#114 | TOV% | #29614.9 |
| 25.9#325 | ORB% | #11329.1 |
| 33.8#217 | FT rate | #20535.8 |
| 9.8#224 | Block% | #1909.1 |
| 48.3#280 | Assist% | #34761.2 |
| 55.8#46 | 2P% | #29054.4 |
| 32.4#263 | 3P% | #31836.3 |
| 75.0#83 | FT% | — |
| 38.1#214 | 3PA rate | #6843.1 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Maryland
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Iowa41 | L 64–75 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Oregon57 | W 70–60 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | H | Illinois7 | L 72–78 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Wisconsin35 | L 45–78 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Rutgers75 | L 65–69 |
Penn St.
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Northwestern85 | L 66–76 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | A | Rutgers75 | L 62–74 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Ohio St.26 | L 62–94 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Iowa41 | W 71–69 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Nebraska19 | L 64–87 |
