Model line
Northwestern −1.3
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Northwestern 56%
Projected tempo
70.5
possessions
Site
Northwestern home
44%Win probability56%
The model makes Northwestern a 1.3-point favorite, winning about 56 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
USC offense vs Northwestern defense
| USC O | Stat | Northwestern D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.0#54 | Tempo | #32265.3 |
| 50.4#224 | eFG% | #16151.0 |
| 17.4#232 | TOV% | #12217.5 |
| 32.4#111 | ORB% | #33134.7 |
| 44.2#9 | FT rate | #17234.8 |
| 8.3#85 | Block% | #10910.6 |
| 56.5#81 | Assist% | #36063.8 |
| 51.8#179 | 2P% | #17451.6 |
| 31.7#299 | 3P% | #14433.4 |
| 72.6#183 | FT% | — |
| 34.1#292 | 3PA rate | #15840.2 |
Northwestern offense vs USC defense
| Northwestern O | Stat | USC D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.3#322 | Tempo | #5471.0 |
| 51.7#164 | eFG% | #8849.7 |
| 13.0#7 | TOV% | #20316.3 |
| 28.1#263 | ORB% | #27032.2 |
| 33.9#213 | FT rate | #13833.4 |
| 6.4#9 | Block% | #1214.9 |
| 65.8#5 | Assist% | #22854.1 |
| 52.9#133 | 2P% | #19852.0 |
| 33.0#230 | 3P% | #3430.9 |
| 75.1#77 | FT% | — |
| 34.0#295 | 3PA rate | #14840.4 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
USC
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Washington78 | L 79–83 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | UCLA18 | L 68–89 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Washington78 | L 72–91 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Nebraska19 | L 67–82 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | A | UCLA18 | L 62–81 |
Northwestern
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Purdue29 | L 68–81 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Indiana37 | W 74–61 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Penn St.90 | W 76–66 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Minnesota63 | L 66–67 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Purdue29 | L 66–70 |
