Model line
Iowa −3.9
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Iowa 66%
Projected tempo
68.6
possessions
Site
Iowa home
34%Win probability66%
The model makes Iowa a 3.9-point favorite, winning about 66 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Nebraska offense vs Iowa defense
| Nebraska O | Stat | Iowa D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.0#247 | Tempo | #36363.1 |
| 55.6#27 | eFG% | #24552.6 |
| 14.4#38 | TOV% | #1520.6 |
| 26.4#314 | ORB% | #6928.1 |
| 26.4#356 | FT rate | #27838.6 |
| 9.3#163 | Block% | #3256.6 |
| 65.5#6 | Assist% | #14851.1 |
| 58.1#21 | 2P% | #26853.8 |
| 35.5#92 | 3P% | #16533.7 |
| 75.2#74 | FT% | — |
| 50.7#11 | 3PA rate | #18539.4 |
Iowa offense vs Nebraska defense
| Iowa O | Stat | Nebraska D |
|---|---|---|
| 63.1#363 | Tempo | #24767.0 |
| 56.3#20 | eFG% | #3647.7 |
| 15.2#81 | TOV% | #4219.2 |
| 30.6#177 | ORB% | #5527.7 |
| 35.3#171 | FT rate | #725.2 |
| 8.3#73 | Block% | #2408.4 |
| 57.4#65 | Assist% | #34560.9 |
| 58.5#16 | 2P% | #11350.3 |
| 35.5#91 | 3P% | #830.1 |
| 77.0#34 | FT% | — |
| 41.9#135 | 3PA rate | #550.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Nebraska
| Thu, Mar 26 | N | Iowa41 | L 71–77 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | Vanderbilt21 | W 74–72 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Troy152 | W 76–47 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Purdue29 | L 58–74 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | H | Iowa41 | W 84–75 |
Iowa
| Sat, Mar 28 | N | Illinois7 | L 59–71 |
| Thu, Mar 26 | N | Nebraska19 | W 77–71 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Florida2 | W 73–72 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Clemson44 | W 67–61 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Ohio St.26 | L 69–72 |
