Model line
Oregon −9.9
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Oregon 85%
Projected tempo
70.6
possessions
Site
Oregon home
15%Win probability85%
The model makes Oregon a 9.9-point favorite, winning about 85 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Rutgers offense vs Oregon defense
| Rutgers O | Stat | Oregon D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.5#271 | Tempo | #27066.5 |
| 47.5#328 | eFG% | #15350.9 |
| 15.1#70 | TOV% | #23915.7 |
| 29.8#211 | ORB% | #27432.3 |
| 36.1#148 | FT rate | #10532.0 |
| 9.8#225 | Block% | #5911.7 |
| 50.6#230 | Assist% | #19952.9 |
| 46.6#337 | 2P% | #16651.5 |
| 32.8#240 | 3P% | #14633.4 |
| 74.1#129 | FT% | — |
| 34.6#284 | 3PA rate | #9542.1 |
Oregon offense vs Rutgers defense
| Oregon O | Stat | Rutgers D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.5#270 | Tempo | #27166.5 |
| 49.5#266 | eFG% | #27253.0 |
| 17.6#247 | TOV% | #14517.1 |
| 32.3#113 | ORB% | #30033.1 |
| 35.0#181 | FT rate | #9331.4 |
| 9.5#188 | Block% | #1569.7 |
| 59.0#43 | Assist% | #32758.5 |
| 50.5#237 | 2P% | #22152.5 |
| 32.1#277 | 3P% | #29735.8 |
| 73.0#170 | FT% | — |
| 42.8#120 | 3PA rate | #20439.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Rutgers
| Thu, Apr 2 | N | Creighton36 | L 69–82 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | UCLA18 | L 59–72 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Minnesota63 | W 72–67 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | H | Penn St.90 | W 74–62 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | Michigan St.9 | L 87–91 |
Oregon
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Maryland46 | L 60–70 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Washington78 | W 85–79 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Illinois7 | L 54–80 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Northwestern85 | L 62–63 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Wisconsin35 | W 85–71 |
