Model line
UCLA −6.4
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
UCLA 75%
Projected tempo
69.9
possessions
Site
UCLA home
25%Win probability75%
The model makes UCLA a 6.4-point favorite, winning about 75 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Michigan offense vs UCLA defense
| Michigan O | Stat | UCLA D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.3#41 | Tempo | #30865.8 |
| 58.7#6 | eFG% | #12050.3 |
| 16.5#165 | TOV% | #8718.3 |
| 35.0#47 | ORB% | #30233.1 |
| 37.7#109 | FT rate | #15734.2 |
| 9.0#145 | Block% | #1489.9 |
| 61.1#25 | Assist% | #35863.1 |
| 61.5#2 | 2P% | #20252.1 |
| 36.6#36 | 3P% | #6632.0 |
| 74.7#94 | FT% | — |
| 41.7#140 | 3PA rate | #3744.7 |
UCLA offense vs Michigan defense
| UCLA O | Stat | Michigan D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.8#308 | Tempo | #4171.3 |
| 53.6#82 | eFG% | #345.2 |
| 13.3#11 | TOV% | #26515.3 |
| 31.2#160 | ORB% | #4027.1 |
| 32.8#241 | FT rate | #1526.2 |
| 8.0#60 | Block% | #316.5 |
| 58.9#45 | Assist% | #5447.3 |
| 51.8#178 | 2P% | #444.5 |
| 37.9#20 | 3P% | #3130.8 |
| 76.6#40 | FT% | — |
| 35.7#255 | 3PA rate | #9242.2 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Michigan
| Mon, Apr 6 | N | Connecticut3 | W 69–63 |
| Sat, Apr 4 | N | Arizona5 | W 91–73 |
| Sun, Mar 29 | N | Tennessee11 | W 95–62 |
| Fri, Mar 27 | N | Alabama16 | W 90–77 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | Saint Louis60 | W 95–72 |
UCLA
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Connecticut3 | L 57–73 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | UCF58 | W 75–71 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Purdue29 | L 66–73 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Michigan St.9 | W 88–84 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Rutgers75 | W 72–59 |
