Model line
Minnesota −10.2
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Minnesota 86%
Projected tempo
69.1
possessions
Site
Minnesota home
14%Win probability86%
The model makes Minnesota a 10.2-point favorite, winning about 86 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Washington offense vs Minnesota defense
| Washington O | Stat | Minnesota D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.9#209 | Tempo | #36563.0 |
| 51.2#187 | eFG% | #20551.9 |
| 15.3#94 | TOV% | #14217.1 |
| 34.6#59 | ORB% | #14929.8 |
| 30.1#309 | FT rate | #2527.3 |
| 8.7#127 | Block% | #2488.2 |
| 49.4#257 | Assist% | #34961.4 |
| 53.4#112 | 2P% | #17751.7 |
| 31.5#307 | 3P% | #22934.7 |
| 76.4#44 | FT% | — |
| 34.6#285 | 3PA rate | #10441.7 |
Minnesota offense vs Washington defense
| Minnesota O | Stat | Washington D |
|---|---|---|
| 63.0#365 | Tempo | #20967.9 |
| 54.2#63 | eFG% | #11450.2 |
| 16.6#171 | TOV% | #32714.3 |
| 27.2#288 | ORB% | #8828.5 |
| 35.9#155 | FT rate | #8531.0 |
| 12.0#342 | Block% | #8211.2 |
| 72.0#1 | Assist% | #9049.1 |
| 56.0#43 | 2P% | #10250.0 |
| 34.8#130 | 3P% | #16333.6 |
| 70.0#274 | FT% | — |
| 47.1#31 | 3PA rate | #22738.2 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Washington
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Wisconsin35 | L 82–85 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | USC38 | W 83–79 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Oregon57 | L 79–85 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | USC38 | W 91–72 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Wisconsin35 | L 73–90 |
Minnesota
| Wed, Apr 1 | N | Baylor32 | L 48–67 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Rutgers75 | L 67–72 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Northwestern85 | W 67–66 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Indiana37 | L 47–77 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | UCLA18 | W 78–73 |
