Model line
Purdue −10.3
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Purdue 86%
Projected tempo
69.1
possessions
Site
Purdue home
14%Win probability86%
The model makes Purdue a 10.3-point favorite, winning about 86 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Maryland offense vs Purdue defense
| Maryland O | Stat | Purdue D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.7#256 | Tempo | #32365.3 |
| 48.1#311 | eFG% | #23152.3 |
| 18.6#304 | TOV% | #25115.5 |
| 33.8#73 | ORB% | #2226.3 |
| 36.4#142 | FT rate | #825.4 |
| 11.6#328 | Block% | #1949.1 |
| 45.2#332 | Assist% | #31157.8 |
| 48.6#295 | 2P% | #24853.3 |
| 31.7#295 | 3P% | #18334.0 |
| 72.2#199 | FT% | — |
| 46.9#34 | 3PA rate | #3544.7 |
Purdue offense vs Maryland defense
| Purdue O | Stat | Maryland D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.3#323 | Tempo | #25666.7 |
| 58.1#10 | eFG% | #31154.4 |
| 13.6#17 | TOV% | #29614.9 |
| 36.8#19 | ORB% | #11329.1 |
| 28.3#339 | FT rate | #20535.8 |
| 6.7#14 | Block% | #1909.1 |
| 66.5#4 | Assist% | #34761.2 |
| 58.4#18 | 2P% | #29054.4 |
| 38.5#13 | 3P% | #31836.3 |
| 74.1#128 | FT% | — |
| 40.8#151 | 3PA rate | #6843.1 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Maryland
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Iowa41 | L 64–75 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Oregon57 | W 70–60 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | H | Illinois7 | L 72–78 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Wisconsin35 | L 45–78 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Rutgers75 | L 65–69 |
Purdue
| Sat, Mar 28 | N | Arizona5 | L 64–79 |
| Thu, Mar 26 | N | Texas10 | W 79–77 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Miami FL13 | W 79–69 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Queens182 | W 104–71 |
| Sun, Mar 15 | N | Michigan24 | W 80–72 |
