Model line
Oregon −10.1
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Oregon 86%
Projected tempo
69.7
possessions
Site
Oregon home
15%Win probability86%
The model makes Oregon a 10.1-point favorite, winning about 86 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Northwestern offense vs Oregon defense
| Northwestern O | Stat | Oregon D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.3#322 | Tempo | #27066.5 |
| 51.7#164 | eFG% | #15350.9 |
| 13.0#7 | TOV% | #23915.7 |
| 28.1#263 | ORB% | #27432.3 |
| 33.9#213 | FT rate | #10532.0 |
| 6.4#9 | Block% | #5911.7 |
| 65.8#5 | Assist% | #19952.9 |
| 52.9#133 | 2P% | #16651.5 |
| 33.0#230 | 3P% | #14633.4 |
| 75.1#77 | FT% | — |
| 34.0#295 | 3PA rate | #9542.1 |
Oregon offense vs Northwestern defense
| Oregon O | Stat | Northwestern D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.5#270 | Tempo | #32265.3 |
| 49.5#266 | eFG% | #16151.0 |
| 17.6#247 | TOV% | #12217.5 |
| 32.3#113 | ORB% | #33134.7 |
| 35.0#181 | FT rate | #17234.8 |
| 9.5#188 | Block% | #10910.6 |
| 59.0#43 | Assist% | #36063.8 |
| 50.5#237 | 2P% | #17451.6 |
| 32.1#277 | 3P% | #14433.4 |
| 73.0#170 | FT% | — |
| 42.8#120 | 3PA rate | #15840.2 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Northwestern
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Purdue29 | L 68–81 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Indiana37 | W 74–61 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Penn St.90 | W 76–66 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Minnesota63 | L 66–67 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Purdue29 | L 66–70 |
Oregon
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Maryland46 | L 60–70 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Washington78 | W 85–79 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Illinois7 | L 54–80 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Northwestern85 | L 62–63 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Wisconsin35 | W 85–71 |
