Model line
Ohio St. −5.0
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Ohio St. 70%
Projected tempo
69.8
possessions
Site
Ohio St. home
30%Win probability70%
The model makes Ohio St. a 5.0-point favorite, winning about 70 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Michigan St. offense vs Ohio St. defense
| Michigan St. O | Stat | Ohio St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.0#246 | Tempo | #28066.4 |
| 54.1#67 | eFG% | #11250.2 |
| 17.2#218 | TOV% | #24715.6 |
| 37.9#9 | ORB% | #16030.0 |
| 36.0#151 | FT rate | #17134.7 |
| 8.0#58 | Block% | #3117.0 |
| 67.9#2 | Assist% | #21053.3 |
| 53.7#93 | 2P% | #18951.9 |
| 36.5#39 | 3P% | #6231.9 |
| 76.5#42 | FT% | — |
| 36.7#236 | 3PA rate | #15240.3 |
Ohio St. offense vs Michigan St. defense
| Ohio St. O | Stat | Michigan St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.4#280 | Tempo | #24667.0 |
| 56.2#21 | eFG% | #5548.7 |
| 15.3#88 | TOV% | #29714.9 |
| 30.4#186 | ORB% | #122.5 |
| 37.2#124 | FT rate | #6530.2 |
| 8.9#139 | Block% | #1713.7 |
| 52.6#175 | Assist% | #29656.5 |
| 58.0#23 | 2P% | #4748.4 |
| 35.7#75 | 3P% | #10132.7 |
| 77.7#23 | FT% | — |
| 40.1#170 | 3PA rate | #2146.3 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Michigan St.
| Fri, Mar 27 | N | Connecticut3 | L 63–67 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | Louisville15 | W 77–69 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | North Dakota St.170 | W 92–67 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | UCLA18 | L 84–88 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | A | Michigan24 | L 80–90 |
Ohio St.
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | TCU50 | L 64–66 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Michigan24 | L 67–71 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Iowa41 | W 72–69 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Indiana37 | W 91–78 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Penn St.90 | W 94–62 |
