Model line
Iowa −12.7
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Iowa 91%
Projected tempo
69.0
possessions
Site
Iowa home
9%Win probability91%
The model makes Iowa a 12.7-point favorite, winning about 91 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Penn St. offense vs Iowa defense
| Penn St. O | Stat | Iowa D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.5#223 | Tempo | #36363.1 |
| 53.0#105 | eFG% | #24552.6 |
| 15.6#114 | TOV% | #1520.6 |
| 25.9#325 | ORB% | #6928.1 |
| 33.8#217 | FT rate | #27838.6 |
| 9.8#224 | Block% | #3256.6 |
| 48.3#280 | Assist% | #14851.1 |
| 55.8#46 | 2P% | #26853.8 |
| 32.4#263 | 3P% | #16533.7 |
| 75.0#83 | FT% | — |
| 38.1#214 | 3PA rate | #18539.4 |
Iowa offense vs Penn St. defense
| Iowa O | Stat | Penn St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 63.1#363 | Tempo | #22367.5 |
| 56.3#20 | eFG% | #36358.4 |
| 15.2#81 | TOV% | #11417.7 |
| 30.6#177 | ORB% | #20831.1 |
| 35.3#171 | FT rate | #2727.5 |
| 8.3#73 | Block% | #3545.2 |
| 57.4#65 | Assist% | #33860.4 |
| 58.5#16 | 2P% | #35758.6 |
| 35.5#91 | 3P% | #36338.8 |
| 77.0#34 | FT% | — |
| 41.9#135 | 3PA rate | #5543.4 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Penn St.
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Northwestern85 | L 66–76 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | A | Rutgers75 | L 62–74 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Ohio St.26 | L 62–94 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Iowa41 | W 71–69 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Nebraska19 | L 64–87 |
Iowa
| Sat, Mar 28 | N | Illinois7 | L 59–71 |
| Thu, Mar 26 | N | Nebraska19 | W 77–71 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Florida2 | W 73–72 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Clemson44 | W 67–61 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Ohio St.26 | L 69–72 |
