Model line
Purdue −1.8
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Purdue 57%
Projected tempo
69.8
possessions
Site
Penn St. home
57%Win probability43%
The model makes Purdue a 1.8-point favorite, winning about 57 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Purdue offense vs Penn St. defense
| Purdue O | Stat | Penn St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.3#323 | Tempo | #22367.5 |
| 58.1#10 | eFG% | #36358.4 |
| 13.6#17 | TOV% | #11417.7 |
| 36.8#19 | ORB% | #20831.1 |
| 28.3#339 | FT rate | #2727.5 |
| 6.7#14 | Block% | #3545.2 |
| 66.5#4 | Assist% | #33860.4 |
| 58.4#18 | 2P% | #35758.6 |
| 38.5#13 | 3P% | #36338.8 |
| 74.1#128 | FT% | — |
| 40.8#151 | 3PA rate | #5543.4 |
Penn St. offense vs Purdue defense
| Penn St. O | Stat | Purdue D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.5#223 | Tempo | #32365.3 |
| 53.0#105 | eFG% | #23152.3 |
| 15.6#114 | TOV% | #25115.5 |
| 25.9#325 | ORB% | #2226.3 |
| 33.8#217 | FT rate | #825.4 |
| 9.8#224 | Block% | #1949.1 |
| 48.3#280 | Assist% | #31157.8 |
| 55.8#46 | 2P% | #24853.3 |
| 32.4#263 | 3P% | #18334.0 |
| 75.0#83 | FT% | — |
| 38.1#214 | 3PA rate | #3544.7 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Purdue
| Sat, Mar 28 | N | Arizona5 | L 64–79 |
| Thu, Mar 26 | N | Texas10 | W 79–77 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Miami FL13 | W 79–69 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Queens182 | W 104–71 |
| Sun, Mar 15 | N | Michigan24 | W 80–72 |
Penn St.
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Northwestern85 | L 66–76 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | A | Rutgers75 | L 62–74 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Ohio St.26 | L 62–94 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Iowa41 | W 71–69 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Nebraska19 | L 64–87 |
