Model line
Michigan −11.3
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Michigan 88%
Projected tempo
71.0
possessions
Site
Michigan home
12%Win probability88%
The model makes Michigan a 11.3-point favorite, winning about 88 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Oregon offense vs Michigan defense
| Oregon O | Stat | Michigan D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.5#270 | Tempo | #4171.3 |
| 49.5#266 | eFG% | #345.2 |
| 17.6#247 | TOV% | #26515.3 |
| 32.3#113 | ORB% | #4027.1 |
| 35.0#181 | FT rate | #1526.2 |
| 9.5#188 | Block% | #316.5 |
| 59.0#43 | Assist% | #5447.3 |
| 50.5#237 | 2P% | #444.5 |
| 32.1#277 | 3P% | #3130.8 |
| 73.0#170 | FT% | — |
| 42.8#120 | 3PA rate | #9242.2 |
Michigan offense vs Oregon defense
| Michigan O | Stat | Oregon D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.3#41 | Tempo | #27066.5 |
| 58.7#6 | eFG% | #15350.9 |
| 16.5#165 | TOV% | #23915.7 |
| 35.0#47 | ORB% | #27432.3 |
| 37.7#109 | FT rate | #10532.0 |
| 9.0#145 | Block% | #5911.7 |
| 61.1#25 | Assist% | #19952.9 |
| 61.5#2 | 2P% | #16651.5 |
| 36.6#36 | 3P% | #14633.4 |
| 74.7#94 | FT% | — |
| 41.7#140 | 3PA rate | #9542.1 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Oregon
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Maryland46 | L 60–70 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Washington78 | W 85–79 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Illinois7 | L 54–80 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Northwestern85 | L 62–63 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Wisconsin35 | W 85–71 |
Michigan
| Mon, Apr 6 | N | Connecticut3 | W 69–63 |
| Sat, Apr 4 | N | Arizona5 | W 91–73 |
| Sun, Mar 29 | N | Tennessee11 | W 95–62 |
| Fri, Mar 27 | N | Alabama16 | W 90–77 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | Saint Louis60 | W 95–72 |
