Model line
Illinois −10.2
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Illinois 86%
Projected tempo
70.3
possessions
Site
Illinois home
14%Win probability86%
The model makes Illinois a 10.2-point favorite, winning about 86 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Nebraska offense vs Illinois defense
| Nebraska O | Stat | Illinois D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.0#247 | Tempo | #28566.2 |
| 55.6#27 | eFG% | #3247.5 |
| 14.4#38 | TOV% | #36511.7 |
| 26.4#314 | ORB% | #3326.8 |
| 26.4#356 | FT rate | #119.7 |
| 9.3#163 | Block% | #3812.5 |
| 65.5#6 | Assist% | #13050.7 |
| 58.1#21 | 2P% | #4648.3 |
| 35.5#92 | 3P% | #3631.0 |
| 75.2#74 | FT% | — |
| 50.7#11 | 3PA rate | #8342.5 |
Illinois offense vs Nebraska defense
| Illinois O | Stat | Nebraska D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.2#285 | Tempo | #24767.0 |
| 55.3#35 | eFG% | #3647.7 |
| 13.0#6 | TOV% | #4219.2 |
| 39.2#3 | ORB% | #5527.7 |
| 32.7#245 | FT rate | #725.2 |
| 8.4#92 | Block% | #2408.4 |
| 50.9#219 | Assist% | #34560.9 |
| 58.1#20 | 2P% | #11350.3 |
| 35.0#114 | 3P% | #830.1 |
| 78.4#13 | FT% | — |
| 50.4#15 | 3PA rate | #550.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Nebraska
| Thu, Mar 26 | N | Iowa41 | L 71–77 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | Vanderbilt21 | W 74–72 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Troy152 | W 76–47 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Purdue29 | L 58–74 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | H | Iowa41 | W 84–75 |
Illinois
| Sat, Apr 4 | N | Connecticut3 | L 62–71 |
| Sat, Mar 28 | N | Iowa41 | W 71–59 |
| Thu, Mar 26 | N | Houston4 | W 65–55 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | VCU53 | W 76–55 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Penn123 | W 105–70 |
