Model line
Ohio St. −15.4
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Ohio St. 95%
Projected tempo
70.5
possessions
Site
Ohio St. home
5%Win probability95%
The model makes Ohio St. a 15.4-point favorite, winning about 95 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Penn St. offense vs Ohio St. defense
| Penn St. O | Stat | Ohio St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.5#223 | Tempo | #28066.4 |
| 53.0#105 | eFG% | #11250.2 |
| 15.6#114 | TOV% | #24715.6 |
| 25.9#325 | ORB% | #16030.0 |
| 33.8#217 | FT rate | #17134.7 |
| 9.8#224 | Block% | #3117.0 |
| 48.3#280 | Assist% | #21053.3 |
| 55.8#46 | 2P% | #18951.9 |
| 32.4#263 | 3P% | #6231.9 |
| 75.0#83 | FT% | — |
| 38.1#214 | 3PA rate | #15240.3 |
Ohio St. offense vs Penn St. defense
| Ohio St. O | Stat | Penn St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.4#280 | Tempo | #22367.5 |
| 56.2#21 | eFG% | #36358.4 |
| 15.3#88 | TOV% | #11417.7 |
| 30.4#186 | ORB% | #20831.1 |
| 37.2#124 | FT rate | #2727.5 |
| 8.9#139 | Block% | #3545.2 |
| 52.6#175 | Assist% | #33860.4 |
| 58.0#23 | 2P% | #35758.6 |
| 35.7#75 | 3P% | #36338.8 |
| 77.7#23 | FT% | — |
| 40.1#170 | 3PA rate | #5543.4 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Penn St.
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Northwestern85 | L 66–76 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | A | Rutgers75 | L 62–74 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Ohio St.26 | L 62–94 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Iowa41 | W 71–69 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Nebraska19 | L 64–87 |
Ohio St.
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | TCU50 | L 64–66 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Michigan24 | L 67–71 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Iowa41 | W 72–69 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Indiana37 | W 91–78 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Penn St.90 | W 94–62 |
