Model line
Minnesota −3.7
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Minnesota 65%
Projected tempo
68.0
possessions
Site
Minnesota home
35%Win probability65%
The model makes Minnesota a 3.7-point favorite, winning about 65 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Purdue offense vs Minnesota defense
| Purdue O | Stat | Minnesota D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.3#323 | Tempo | #36563.0 |
| 58.1#10 | eFG% | #20551.9 |
| 13.6#17 | TOV% | #14217.1 |
| 36.8#19 | ORB% | #14929.8 |
| 28.3#339 | FT rate | #2527.3 |
| 6.7#14 | Block% | #2488.2 |
| 66.5#4 | Assist% | #34961.4 |
| 58.4#18 | 2P% | #17751.7 |
| 38.5#13 | 3P% | #22934.7 |
| 74.1#128 | FT% | — |
| 40.8#151 | 3PA rate | #10441.7 |
Minnesota offense vs Purdue defense
| Minnesota O | Stat | Purdue D |
|---|---|---|
| 63.0#365 | Tempo | #32365.3 |
| 54.2#63 | eFG% | #23152.3 |
| 16.6#171 | TOV% | #25115.5 |
| 27.2#288 | ORB% | #2226.3 |
| 35.9#155 | FT rate | #825.4 |
| 12.0#342 | Block% | #1949.1 |
| 72.0#1 | Assist% | #31157.8 |
| 56.0#43 | 2P% | #24853.3 |
| 34.8#130 | 3P% | #18334.0 |
| 70.0#274 | FT% | — |
| 47.1#31 | 3PA rate | #3544.7 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Purdue
| Sat, Mar 28 | N | Arizona5 | L 64–79 |
| Thu, Mar 26 | N | Texas10 | W 79–77 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Miami FL13 | W 79–69 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Queens182 | W 104–71 |
| Sun, Mar 15 | N | Michigan24 | W 80–72 |
Minnesota
| Wed, Apr 1 | N | Baylor32 | L 48–67 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Rutgers75 | L 67–72 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Northwestern85 | W 67–66 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Indiana37 | L 47–77 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | UCLA18 | W 78–73 |
